Discounted Cash Flow

Danaos Corp. Foreign

DAC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $498.3m $-366.2m $262.0m -73.5% $-3.34
2017 $451.7m (-9.4%) $83.9m (122.9%) $181.1m (-30.9%) 18.6% (125.3%) $10.70 (420.4%)
2018 $458.7m (1.5%) $-32.9m (-139.3%) $164.7m (-9.0%) -7.2% (-138.7%) $-3.10 (-129.0%)
2019 $447.2m (-2.5%) $131.3m (498.5%) $219.9m (33.5%) 29.3% (508.7%) $8.29 (367.4%)
2020 $461.6m (3.2%) $153.6m (17.0%) $265.7m (20.8%) 33.3% (13.4%) $6.51 (-21.5%)
2021 $689.5m (49.4%) $1.1b (585.7%) $428.1m (61.1%) 152.7% (359.0%) $51.75 (694.9%)
2022 $993.3m (44.1%) $559.2m (-46.9%) $735.6m (71.8%) 56.3% (-63.1%) $27.30 (-47.2%)
2023 $973.6m (-2.0%) $576.3m (3.1%) $308.3m (-58.1%) 59.2% (5.1%) $28.99 (6.2%)
2024 $1.0b (4.2%) $505.1m (-12.4%) $-37.6m (-112.2%) 49.8% (-15.9%) $26.15 (-9.8%)
2025 $1.0b (2.8%) $494.6m (-2.1%) $348.1m (1025.9%) 47.4% (-4.7%) $26.83 (2.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model