Discounted Cash Flow
Ducommun Inc. /De/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $550.6m | $25.3m | $26.3m | 4.6% | $2.27 |
| 2017 | $558.2m (1.4%) | $20.1m (-20.5%) | $7.8m (-70.2%) | 3.6% (-21.6%) | $1.78 (-21.6%) |
| 2018 | $629.3m (12.7%) | $9.0m (-55.0%) | $28.6m (265.8%) | 1.4% (-60.1%) | $0.79 (-55.6%) |
| 2019 | $721.1m (14.6%) | $32.5m (259.3%) | $32.7m (14.4%) | 4.5% (213.6%) | $2.82 (257.0%) |
| 2020 | $628.9m (-12.8%) | $29.2m (-10.1%) | $101.0k (-99.7%) | 4.6% (3.0%) | $2.50 (-11.3%) |
| 2021 | $645.4m (2.6%) | $135.5m (364.6%) | $-17.4m (-17355.4%) | 21.0% (352.7%) | $11.41 (356.4%) |
| 2022 | $712.5m (10.4%) | $28.8m (-78.8%) | $13.0m (174.5%) | 4.0% (-80.8%) | $2.38 (-79.1%) |
| 2023 | $757.0m (6.2%) | $15.9m (-44.7%) | $11.5m (-11.1%) | 2.1% (-47.9%) | $1.16 (-51.3%) |
| 2024 | $786.6m (3.9%) | $31.5m (97.7%) | $20.1m (73.7%) | 4.0% (90.3%) | $2.13 (83.6%) |
| 2025 | $824.8m (4.9%) | $-37.4m (-218.6%) | $-48.6m (-342.6%) | -4.5% (-213.1%) | $-2.50 (-217.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.