Discounted Cash Flow
Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $3.9b | $-277.3m | $-142.9m | -7.1% | $-32.45 |
| 2020 | $11.3b (192.2%) | $-470.2m (-69.6%) | $-341.0m (-138.6%) | -4.1% (42.0%) | $-54.91 (-69.2%) |
| 2021 | $3.2b (-72.1%) | $-149.3m (68.2%) | $-849.1m (-149.0%) | -4.7% (-14.0%) | $-103.50 (-88.5%) |
| 2022 | $3.5b (11.2%) | $-17.3m (88.4%) | $10.2m (101.2%) | -0.5% (89.6%) | $-7.53 (92.7%) |
| 2023 | $2.8b (-19.9%) | $-1.9m (89.0%) | $-36.5m (-457.2%) | -0.1% (86.3%) | $-0.93 (87.6%) |
| 2024 | $3.2b (12.3%) | $6.2m (424.4%) | $6.2m (116.9%) | 0.2% (388.7%) | $2.73 (393.5%) |
| 2025 | $3.5b (10.2%) | $4.9m (-20.6%) | $75.5m (1123.2%) | 0.1% (-27.9%) | $2.04 (-25.3%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.