Discounted Cash Flow
Dillard's, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.6b | $269.4m | — | 4.1% | $6.91 |
| 2017 | $6.3b (-5.1%) | $169.2m (-37.2%) | $412.2m | 2.7% (-33.8%) | $4.93 (-28.7%) |
| 2018 | $6.3b (0.1%) | $221.3m (30.8%) | $143.8m (-65.1%) | 3.5% (30.7%) | $7.51 (52.3%) |
| 2019 | $6.5b (3.9%) | $170.3m (-23.1%) | $230.2m (60.1%) | 2.6% (-25.9%) | $6.23 (-17.0%) |
| 2020 | $6.3b (-2.5%) | $111.1m (-34.8%) | $261.7m (13.7%) | 1.8% (-33.1%) | $4.38 (-29.7%) |
| 2021 | $4.4b (-30.1%) | $-71.7m (-164.5%) | $192.5m (-26.4%) | -1.6% (-192.3%) | $-3.16 (-172.1%) |
| 2022 | $6.6b (49.4%) | $862.5m (1303.7%) | $1.2b (510.8%) | 13.0% (905.5%) | $41.88 (1425.3%) |
| 2023 | $6.9b (3.7%) | $891.6m (3.4%) | $828.3m (-29.5%) | 13.0% (-0.3%) | $50.81 (21.3%) |
| 2024 | $6.8b (-1.7%) | $738.8m (-17.1%) | $750.6m (-9.4%) | 10.9% (-15.7%) | $44.73 (-12.0%) |
| 2025 | $6.5b (-4.0%) | $593.5m (-19.7%) | $609.6m (-18.8%) | 9.2% (-16.3%) | $36.82 (-17.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.