Discounted Cash Flow
Deckers Outdoor Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.8b | $5.7m | $154.2m | 0.3% | $0.18 |
| 2018 | $1.9b (6.3%) | $114.4m (1903.4%) | $292.5m (89.7%) | 6.0% (1784.3%) | $3.60 (1900.0%) |
| 2019 | $2.0b (6.2%) | $264.3m (131.1%) | $330.4m (12.9%) | 13.1% (117.7%) | $8.92 (147.8%) |
| 2020 | $2.1b (5.6%) | $276.1m (4.5%) | $253.9m (-23.2%) | 12.9% (-1.0%) | $9.73 (9.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.5b (19.4%) | $382.6m (38.5%) | $564.0m (122.2%) | 15.0% (16.1%) | $13.64 (40.2%) |
| 2022 | $3.2b (23.8%) | $451.9m (18.1%) | $121.3m (-78.5%) | 14.3% (-4.5%) | $16.43 (20.5%) |
| 2023 | $3.6b (15.1%) | $516.8m (14.4%) | $456.4m (276.1%) | 14.2% (-0.7%) | $19.50 (18.7%) |
| 2024 | $4.3b (18.2%) | $759.6m (47.0%) | $943.8m (106.8%) | 17.7% (24.3%) | $29.36 (50.6%) |
| 2025 | $5.0b (16.3%) | $966.1m (27.2%) | $958.4m (1.5%) | 19.4% (9.4%) | $6.36 (-78.3%) |
| 2026 | $5.5b (9.8%) | $1.0b (6.0%) | $1.1b (14.5%) | 18.7% (-3.4%) | $7.04 (10.7%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.