Discounted Cash Flow
Dollar General Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $20.4b | $1.3b | — | 6.1% | $3.96 |
| 2017 | $22.0b (7.9%) | $1.3b (0.0%) | $1.6b | 5.7% (-7.4%) | $4.45 (12.4%) |
| 2018 | $23.5b (6.8%) | $1.5b (23.0%) | $1.7b (11.0%) | 6.6% (15.2%) | $5.64 (26.7%) |
| 2019 | $25.6b (9.2%) | $1.6b (3.3%) | $2.1b (19.6%) | 6.2% (-5.4%) | $5.99 (6.2%) |
| 2020 | $27.8b (8.3%) | $1.7b (7.7%) | $2.1b (2.3%) | 6.2% (-0.5%) | $6.68 (11.5%) |
| 2021 | $33.7b (21.6%) | $2.7b (55.0%) | $3.8b (76.6%) | 7.9% (27.5%) | $10.70 (60.2%) |
| 2022 | $34.2b (1.4%) | $2.4b (-9.6%) | $2.7b (-27.6%) | 7.0% (-10.9%) | $10.24 (-4.3%) |
| 2023 | $37.8b (10.6%) | $2.4b (0.7%) | $424.0m (-84.4%) | 6.4% (-8.9%) | $10.73 (4.8%) |
| 2024 | $38.7b (2.2%) | $1.7b (-31.2%) | $691.6m (63.1%) | 4.3% (-32.7%) | $7.57 (-29.5%) |
| 2025 | $40.6b (5.0%) | $1.1b (-32.3%) | $1.7b (143.8%) | 2.8% (-35.5%) | $5.12 (-32.4%) |
| 2026 | $42.7b (5.2%) | $1.5b (34.4%) | $2.4b (41.9%) | 3.5% (27.8%) | $6.87 (34.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.