Discounted Cash Flow

Quest Diagnostics Inc.

DGX · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $7.5b $645.0m $776.0m 8.6% $4.58
2017 $7.7b (2.6%) $772.0m (19.7%) $923.0m (18.9%) 10.0% (16.7%) $5.63 (22.9%)
2018 $7.5b (-2.3%) $736.0m (-4.7%) $817.0m (-11.5%) 9.8% (-2.4%) $5.39 (-4.3%)
2019 $7.7b (2.6%) $858.0m (16.6%) $843.0m (3.2%) 11.1% (13.6%) $6.36 (18.0%)
2020 $9.4b (22.1%) $1.4b (66.8%) $1.6b (88.3%) 15.2% (36.5%) $10.62 (67.0%)
2021 $10.8b (14.3%) $2.0b (39.4%) $1.8b (15.3%) 18.5% (22.0%) $15.85 (49.2%)
2022 $9.9b (-8.4%) $946.0m (-52.6%) $1.3b (-28.2%) 9.6% (-48.2%) $8.10 (-48.9%)
2023 $9.3b (-6.4%) $854.0m (-9.7%) $864.0m (-34.2%) 9.2% (-3.6%) $7.59 (-6.3%)
2024 $9.9b (6.7%) $871.0m (2.0%) $909.0m (5.2%) 8.8% (-4.4%) $7.78 (2.5%)
2025 $11.0b (11.8%) $992.0m (13.9%) $1.4b (49.5%) 9.0% (1.9%) $8.87 (14.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model