Discounted Cash Flow
HF Sinclair Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $11.2b | $-601.4m | $384.1m | -5.4% | $-3.18 |
| 2021 | $18.4b (64.4%) | $558.3m (192.8%) | $391.4m (1.9%) | 3.0% (156.5%) | $4.08 (228.3%) |
| 2022 | $38.2b (107.8%) | $2.9b (423.5%) | $3.7b (857.0%) | 7.6% (152.0%) | $15.01 (268.0%) |
| 2023 | $32.0b (-16.3%) | $1.6b (-45.6%) | $2.3b (-38.8%) | 5.0% (-35.0%) | $9.00 (-40.0%) |
| 2024 | $28.6b (-10.6%) | $177.0m (-88.9%) | $1.1b (-51.6%) | 0.6% (-87.5%) | $0.96 (-89.4%) |
| 2025 | $26.9b (-6.0%) | $579.0m (227.1%) | $1.3b (17.1%) | 2.2% (247.9%) | $3.14 (228.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.