Discounted Cash Flow

Diodes Inc. /Del/

DIOD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $942.2m $15.9m $66.2m 1.7% $0.33
2017 $1.1b (11.9%) $-1.8m (-111.3%) $70.0m (5.7%) -0.2% (-110.1%) $-0.04 (-112.1%)
2018 $1.2b (15.2%) $104.0m (5862.9%) $98.1m (40.2%) 8.6% (5104.4%) $2.09 (5325.0%)
2019 $1.2b (2.9%) $153.2m (47.3%) $131.3m (33.9%) 12.3% (43.2%) $3.02 (44.5%)
2020 $1.2b (-1.6%) $98.1m (-36.0%) $111.4m (-15.1%) 8.0% (-35.0%) $1.92 (-36.4%)
2021 $1.8b (46.9%) $228.8m (133.2%) $197.3m (77.1%) 12.7% (58.8%) $5.11 (166.1%)
2022 $2.0b (10.8%) $331.3m (44.8%) $180.8m (-8.4%) 16.6% (30.7%) $7.31 (43.1%)
2023 $1.7b (-16.9%) $227.2m (-31.4%) $130.1m (-28.0%) 13.7% (-17.4%) $4.96 (-32.1%)
2024 $1.3b (-21.1%) $44.0m (-80.6%) $46.4m (-64.3%) 3.4% (-75.4%) $0.95 (-80.8%)
2025 $1.5b (13.0%) $66.1m (50.2%) $137.2m (195.5%) 4.5% (32.9%) $1.43 (50.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model