Discounted Cash Flow
Amcon Distributing Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.3b | $6.0m | $16.8m | 0.5% | $9.37 |
| 2017 | $1.3b (-1.5%) | $2.9m (-50.7%) | $-16.3m (-197.2%) | 0.2% (-49.9%) | $4.34 (-53.7%) |
| 2018 | $1.3b (3.7%) | $3.6m (22.5%) | $2.7m (116.3%) | 0.3% (18.2%) | $5.47 (26.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.4b (5.3%) | $3.2m (-11.4%) | $-15.9m (-695.3%) | 0.2% (-15.8%) | $5.36 (-2.0%) |
| 2020 | $1.5b (9.3%) | $5.5m (73.0%) | $11.8m (174.5%) | 0.4% (58.4%) | $9.88 (84.3%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (9.9%) | $15.5m (180.5%) | $19.4m (63.8%) | 0.9% (155.1%) | $28.24 (185.8%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (20.2%) | $16.7m (7.2%) | $8.2m (-57.8%) | 0.8% (-10.8%) | $29.37 (4.0%) |
| 2023 | $2.5b (26.3%) | $11.6m (-30.4%) | $8.2m (-0.5%) | 0.5% (-44.9%) | $19.85 (-32.4%) |
| 2024 | $2.7b (6.7%) | $4.3m (-62.6%) | $47.4m (481.3%) | 0.2% (-65.0%) | $7.24 (-63.5%) |
| 2025 | $2.8b (3.9%) | $568.7k (-86.9%) | $9.7m (-79.6%) | 0.0% (-87.4%) | $0.93 (-87.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.