Discounted Cash Flow

Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc.

DKS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $7.3b $287.4m $389.0m 4.0% $2.87
2017 $7.9b (9.0%) $323.4m (12.5%) $324.4m (-16.6%) 4.1% (3.3%) $2.59 (-9.8%)
2018 $8.6b (8.4%) $319.9m (-1.1%) $238.4m (-26.5%) 3.7% (-8.8%) $3.02 (16.6%)
2019 $8.4b (-1.8%) $297.5m (-7.0%) $206.4m (-13.4%) 3.5% (-5.3%) $3.27 (8.3%)
2020 $8.8b (3.7%) $530.3m (78.3%) $1.3b (547.0%) 6.1% (71.9%) $3.40 (4.0%)
2021 $9.6b (9.5%) $1.5b (186.6%) $1.4b (4.3%) 15.9% (161.7%) $6.29 (85.0%)
2022 $12.3b (28.3%) $1.0b (-31.4%) $613.6m (-55.9%) 8.5% (-46.5%) $18.27 (190.5%)
2023 $12.4b (0.6%) $1.0b (0.3%) $1.2b (89.6%) 8.5% (-0.3%) $13.43 (-26.5%)
2024 $13.0b (5.0%) $1.2b (11.4%) $724.4m (-37.7%) 9.0% (6.1%) $12.72 (-5.3%)
2025 $13.4b (3.5%) $1.2b (0.0%) $734.8m (1.4%) 8.7% (-3.4%) $14.48 (13.8%)
2026 $17.2b (28.1%) $849.2m (-27.1%) $400.2m (-45.5%) 4.9% (-43.1%) $10.22 (-29.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model