Discounted Cash Flow
Dollar Tree, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $15.5b | $282.4m | $6.5m | 1.8% | $1.27 |
| 2017 | $20.7b (33.7%) | $896.2m (217.4%) | $1.1b (16955.4%) | 4.3% (137.4%) | $3.80 (199.2%) |
| 2018 | $22.2b (7.4%) | $1.7b (91.3%) | $878.0m (-20.8%) | 7.7% (78.2%) | $7.24 (90.5%) |
| 2019 | $22.8b (2.6%) | $-1.6b (-192.8%) | $1.7b (96.2%) | -7.0% (-190.4%) | $-6.69 (-192.4%) |
| 2020 | $23.6b (3.5%) | $827.0m (152.0%) | $1.8b (5.6%) | 3.5% (150.3%) | $3.49 (152.2%) |
| 2021 | $25.5b (8.0%) | $1.3b (62.3%) | $2.7b (46.9%) | 5.3% (50.2%) | $5.68 (62.8%) |
| 2022 | $26.3b (3.2%) | $1.3b (-1.0%) | $1.4b (-49.0%) | 5.0% (-4.1%) | $5.83 (2.6%) |
| 2023 | $28.3b (7.6%) | $1.6b (21.7%) | $1.5b (12.1%) | 5.7% (13.0%) | $7.24 (24.2%) |
| 2024 | $16.8b (-40.8%) | $-998.4m (-161.8%) | $2.5b (66.6%) | -6.0% (-204.4%) | $5.76 (-20.4%) |
| 2025 | $17.6b (4.8%) | $-3.0b (-203.5%) | $594.7m (-76.6%) | -17.2% (-189.5%) | $4.83 (-16.1%) |
| 2026 | $19.4b (10.4%) | $1.3b (142.3%) | $297.6m (-50.0%) | 6.6% (138.3%) | $5.94 (23.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.