Discounted Cash Flow

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. REIT

DOC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $2.1b $627.7m $755.2m 29.5% $1.34
2017 $1.8b (-13.2%) $414.2m (-34.0%) $375.3m (-50.3%) 22.4% (-24.0%) $0.88 (-34.3%)
2018 $1.8b (-0.1%) $1.1b (156.2%) $241.5m (-35.6%) 57.5% (156.4%) $2.25 (155.7%)
2019 $728.0m (-60.6%) $45.5m (-95.7%) $102.1m (-57.7%) 6.3% (-89.1%) $0.09 (-96.0%)
2020 $436.5m (-40.0%) $413.6m (808.3%) $-30.5m (-129.8%) 94.7% (1414.9%) $0.77 (755.6%)
2021 $471.3m (8.0%) $505.5m (22.2%) $35.5m (216.6%) 107.3% (13.2%) $0.93 (20.8%)
2022 $494.9m (5.0%) $500.4m (-1.0%) $-61.7m (-273.8%) 101.1% (-5.7%) $0.92 (-1.1%)
2023 $527.4m (6.6%) $306.0m (-38.9%) $181.7m (394.3%) 58.0% (-42.6%) $0.56 (-39.1%)
2024 $568.5m (7.8%) $243.1m (-20.5%) $333.7m (83.7%) 42.8% (-26.3%) $0.36 (-35.7%)
2025 $604.0m (6.2%) $71.3m (-70.7%) $357.0m (7.0%) 11.8% (-72.4%) $0.10 (-72.2%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model