Discounted Cash Flow
Dorman Products, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $859.6m | $106.0m | $101.5m | 12.3% | $3.07 |
| 2017 | $903.2m (5.1%) | $106.6m (0.5%) | $69.8m (-31.2%) | 11.8% (-4.3%) | $3.14 (2.3%) |
| 2018 | $973.7m (7.8%) | $133.6m (25.3%) | $52.0m (-25.5%) | 13.7% (16.3%) | $4.04 (28.7%) |
| 2019 | $991.3m (1.8%) | $83.8m (-37.3%) | $65.7m (26.4%) | 8.4% (-38.4%) | $2.57 (-36.4%) |
| 2020 | $1.1b (10.2%) | $106.9m (27.6%) | $136.5m (107.6%) | 9.8% (15.7%) | $3.31 (28.8%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (23.1%) | $131.5m (23.1%) | $80.5m (-41.0%) | 9.8% (-0.0%) | $4.13 (24.8%) |
| 2022 | $1.7b (28.9%) | $121.5m (-7.6%) | $3.8m (-95.3%) | 7.0% (-28.3%) | $3.87 (-6.3%) |
| 2023 | $1.9b (11.3%) | $129.3m (6.3%) | $164.8m (4230.9%) | 6.7% (-4.5%) | $4.11 (6.2%) |
| 2024 | $2.0b (4.1%) | $190.0m (47.0%) | $191.6m (16.3%) | 9.5% (41.2%) | $6.17 (50.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.1b (6.0%) | $204.2m (7.5%) | $75.7m (-60.5%) | 9.6% (1.4%) | $6.69 (8.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.