Discounted Cash Flow

Drdgold Ltd. ADR

DRD · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016
2018 $2.5b $32.4m $233.8m 1.3% $1.50
2019 $2.8b (10.9%) $105.1m (224.4%) $288.3m (23.3%) 3.8% (192.5%) $11.80 (686.7%)
2020 $4.2b (51.5%) $978.9m (831.4%) $1.1b (291.6%) 23.4% (514.7%) $82.50 (599.2%)
2021 $5.3b (25.9%) $2.0b (100.6%) $1.6b (39.4%) 37.3% (59.3%) $168.40 (104.1%)
2022 $5.1b (-2.9%) $1.5b (-25.7%) $913.7m (-41.9%) 28.5% (-23.6%) $1.31 (-99.2%)
2023 $5.5b (7.4%) $1.7b (15.7%) $510.4m (-44.1%) 30.7% (7.7%) $1.49 (13.6%)
2024 $6.2b (13.5%) $1.8b (7.7%) $-1.1b (-323.5%) 29.1% (-5.1%) $1.54 (3.5%)
2025 $7.9b (26.3%) $3.1b (68.8%) $3.5b (407.9%) 38.9% (33.7%) $2.60 (68.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model