Discounted Cash Flow
Brinker International, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.3b | $200.7m | $281.9m | 6.2% | $3.47 |
| 2017 | $3.2b (-3.3%) | $150.8m (-24.9%) | $210.3m (-25.4%) | 4.8% (-22.3%) | $2.98 (-14.1%) |
| 2018 | $3.1b (-0.5%) | $125.9m (-16.5%) | $183.2m (-12.9%) | 4.0% (-16.1%) | $2.75 (-7.7%) |
| 2019 | $3.2b (2.6%) | $154.9m (23.1%) | $45.1m (-75.4%) | 4.8% (19.9%) | $4.04 (46.9%) |
| 2020 | $3.1b (-4.3%) | $24.4m (-84.2%) | $140.5m (211.5%) | 0.8% (-83.5%) | $0.64 (-84.2%) |
| 2021 | $3.3b (8.4%) | $131.6m (439.3%) | $275.7m (96.2%) | 3.9% (397.4%) | $2.89 (351.6%) |
| 2022 | $3.8b (14.0%) | $117.6m (-10.6%) | $101.9m (-63.0%) | 3.1% (-21.6%) | $2.62 (-9.3%) |
| 2023 | $4.1b (8.7%) | $102.6m (-12.8%) | $71.4m (-29.9%) | 2.5% (-19.7%) | $2.33 (-11.1%) |
| 2024 | $4.4b (6.8%) | $155.3m (51.4%) | $223.0m (212.3%) | 3.5% (41.7%) | $3.49 (49.8%) |
| 2025 | $5.4b (21.9%) | $383.1m (146.7%) | $413.7m (85.5%) | 7.1% (102.3%) | $8.60 (146.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.