Discounted Cash Flow

Encore Capital Group Inc.

ECPG · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

DCF estimate unavailable — loss_in_2023

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.0b $76.6m $98.7m 7.4% $2.98
2017 $1.2b (15.3%) $83.2m (8.7%) $95.7m (-3.0%) 7.0% (-5.8%) $3.20 (7.4%)
2018 $153.4m (-87.1%) $115.9m (39.2%) $119.3m (24.7%) 75.5% (977.3%) $4.09 (27.8%)
2019 $126.5m (-17.5%) $167.9m (44.9%) $205.1m (71.9%) 132.7% (75.7%) $5.38 (31.5%)
2020 $115.1m (-9.0%) $211.8m (26.2%) $278.3m (35.7%) 184.0% (38.7%) $6.74 (25.3%)
2021 $120.8m (4.9%) $350.8m (65.6%) $269.7m (-3.1%) 290.4% (57.8%) $11.64 (72.7%)
2022 $94.9m (-21.4%) $194.6m (-44.5%) $173.5m (-35.7%) 205.0% (-29.4%) $8.06 (-30.8%)
2023 $83.1m (-12.4%) $-206.5m (-206.1%) $128.2m (-26.1%) -248.4% (-221.2%) $-8.72 (-208.2%)
2024 $84.8m (2.0%) $-139.2m (32.6%) $127.2m (-0.8%) -164.2% (33.9%) $-5.83 (33.1%)
2025 $88.4m (4.3%) $256.8m (284.4%) $126.9m (-0.2%) 290.6% (276.9%) $11.05 (289.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model

loss_in_2023

Once the company meets all DCF eligibility criteria (sufficient history, profitability, growth trends), an estimate will become available automatically. No action is needed.