Discounted Cash Flow
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.5b | $224.9m | $453.5m | 15.2% | — |
| 2017 | $1.8b (21.7%) | $274.5m (22.0%) | $512.4m (13.0%) | 15.3% (0.3%) | — |
| 2018 | $2.4b (36.0%) | $296.1m (7.9%) | $566.9m (10.6%) | 12.1% (-20.7%) | — |
| 2019 | $3.1b (26.5%) | $238.1m (-19.6%) | $536.5m (-5.4%) | 7.7% (-36.5%) | — |
| 2020 | $3.6b (15.6%) | $413.3m (73.6%) | $494.9m (-7.8%) | 11.5% (50.2%) | — |
| 2021 | $4.3b (19.5%) | $334.4m (-19.1%) | $700.9m (41.6%) | 7.8% (-32.3%) | — |
| 2022 | $3.1b (-27.4%) | $-1.2b (-455.2%) | $-1.4b (-304.2%) | -38.2% (-589.1%) | — |
| 2023 | $3.0b (-3.5%) | $177.3m (114.9%) | $828.0m (157.9%) | 5.9% (115.5%) | — |
| 2024 | $4.3b (43.9%) | $309.6m (74.6%) | $873.2m (5.5%) | 7.2% (21.3%) | — |
| 2025 | $4.9b (13.6%) | $371.7m (20.1%) | $654.7m (-25.0%) | 7.6% (5.7%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.