Discounted Cash Flow
Ellington Financial Inc. REIT
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $74.3m | $-16.0m | $-16.0m | -21.5% | $-0.48 |
| 2017 | $89.6m (20.6%) | $34.0m (312.3%) | $34.0m (312.3%) | 37.9% (276.1%) | $1.04 (316.7%) |
| 2018 | $131.0m (46.2%) | $46.7m (37.4%) | $46.7m (37.4%) | 35.6% (-6.0%) | $1.52 (46.2%) |
| 2019 | $159.9m (22.0%) | $56.5m (21.0%) | $79.2m (69.8%) | 35.3% (-0.9%) | $1.76 (15.8%) |
| 2020 | $173.5m (8.5%) | $17.2m (-69.5%) | $119.5m (50.8%) | 9.9% (-71.9%) | $0.39 (-77.8%) |
| 2021 | $175.5m (1.1%) | $125.3m (626.9%) | $51.3m (-57.1%) | 71.4% (618.7%) | $2.58 (561.5%) |
| 2022 | $282.2m (60.8%) | $-85.3m (-168.1%) | $42.7m (-16.8%) | -30.2% (-142.3%) | $-1.43 (-155.4%) |
| 2023 | $370.2m (31.2%) | $60.9m (171.4%) | $-241.9m (-666.6%) | 16.5% (154.4%) | $0.89 (162.2%) |
| 2024 | $416.0m (12.4%) | $117.8m (93.5%) | $-430.5m (-78.0%) | 28.3% (72.2%) | $1.36 (52.8%) |
| 2025 | $494.5m (18.9%) | $118.7m (0.8%) | $-925.5m (-115.0%) | 24.0% (-15.2%) | $1.19 (-12.5%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.