Discounted Cash Flow
Estee Lauder Companies Inc.
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—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $11.3b | $1.1b | $1.3b | 9.9% | $3.01 |
| 2017 | $11.8b (5.0%) | $1.2b (12.1%) | $1.3b (2.6%) | 10.6% (6.7%) | $3.40 (13.0%) |
| 2018 | $13.7b (15.7%) | $1.1b (-11.3%) | $1.9b (50.0%) | 8.1% (-23.3%) | $3.01 (-11.5%) |
| 2019 | $14.9b (8.6%) | $1.8b (61.1%) | $1.8b (-8.8%) | 12.0% (48.3%) | $4.91 (63.1%) |
| 2020 | $14.3b (-3.8%) | $684.0m (-61.7%) | $1.7b (-6.5%) | 4.8% (-60.2%) | $1.90 (-61.3%) |
| 2021 | $16.2b (13.4%) | $2.9b (319.6%) | $3.0b (80.7%) | 17.7% (269.9%) | $7.91 (316.3%) |
| 2022 | $17.7b (9.4%) | $2.4b (-16.7%) | $2.0b (-33.2%) | 13.5% (-23.9%) | $6.64 (-16.1%) |
| 2023 | $15.9b (-10.3%) | $1.0b (-57.9%) | $728.0m (-63.6%) | 6.3% (-53.1%) | $2.81 (-57.7%) |
| 2024 | $15.6b (-1.9%) | $390.0m (-61.2%) | $1.4b (97.9%) | 2.5% (-60.5%) | $1.09 (-61.2%) |
| 2025 | $14.3b (-8.2%) | $-1.1b (-390.5%) | $670.0m (-53.5%) | -7.9% (-416.5%) | $-3.15 (-389.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.