Discounted Cash Flow

Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. REIT

ELS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $870.4m $187.1m $353.3m 21.5% $1.93
2017 $925.3m (6.3%) $210.4m (12.4%) $384.5m (8.8%) 22.7% (5.8%) $2.18 (13.0%)
2018 $986.7m (6.6%) $226.4m (7.6%) $411.1m (6.9%) 22.9% (0.9%) $2.39 (9.6%)
2019 $19.1m (-98.1%) $295.9m (30.7%) $385.2m (-6.3%) 1548.4% (6648.5%) $1.54 (-35.6%)
2020 $21.7m (13.8%) $241.4m (-18.4%) $257.3m (-33.2%) 1110.5% (-28.3%) $1.26 (-18.2%)
2021 $1.3b (5749.8%) $276.0m (14.3%) $197.1m (-23.4%) 21.7% (-98.0%) $1.43 (13.5%)
2022 $1.4b (13.8%) $298.8m (8.3%) $226.5m (15.0%) 20.7% (-4.9%) $1.53 (7.0%)
2023 $1.5b (2.9%) $329.7m (10.3%) $230.9m (1.9%) 22.1% (7.2%) $1.69 (10.5%)
2024 $1.5b (2.5%) $384.8m (16.7%) $355.4m (53.9%) 25.2% (13.9%) $1.96 (16.0%)
2025 $1.5b (0.3%) $402.1m (4.5%) $334.1m (-6.0%) 26.3% (4.1%) $2.01 (2.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model