Discounted Cash Flow
Emcor Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $7.6b | $181.9m | $264.6m | 2.4% | $3.00 |
| 2017 | $7.7b (1.8%) | $227.2m (24.9%) | $366.1m (38.4%) | 3.0% (22.7%) | $3.84 (28.0%) |
| 2018 | $8.1b (5.8%) | $283.5m (24.8%) | $271.0m (-26.0%) | 3.5% (18.0%) | $4.88 (27.1%) |
| 2019 | $9.2b (12.8%) | $325.1m (14.7%) | $355.7m (31.2%) | 3.5% (1.6%) | $5.78 (18.4%) |
| 2020 | $8.8b (-4.1%) | $132.9m (-59.1%) | $806.4m (126.7%) | 1.5% (-57.4%) | $2.41 (-58.3%) |
| 2021 | $9.9b (12.6%) | $383.5m (188.5%) | $318.8m (-60.5%) | 3.9% (156.3%) | $7.09 (194.2%) |
| 2022 | $11.1b (11.8%) | $406.1m (5.9%) | $448.6m (40.7%) | 3.7% (-5.3%) | $8.13 (14.7%) |
| 2023 | $12.6b (13.6%) | $633.0m (55.9%) | $821.3m (83.1%) | 5.0% (37.2%) | $13.37 (64.5%) |
| 2024 | $14.6b (15.8%) | $1.0b (59.1%) | $1.3b (62.3%) | 6.9% (37.4%) | $21.61 (61.6%) |
| 2025 | $17.0b (16.6%) | $1.3b (26.4%) | $1.2b (-10.8%) | 7.5% (8.4%) | $28.30 (31.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.