Discounted Cash Flow

Enphase Energy, Inc.

ENPH · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $322.6m $-67.5m $-45.1m -20.9%
2017 $286.2m (-11.3%) $-45.2m (33.0%) $-32.6m (27.8%) -15.8% (24.5%) $-0.54
2018 $316.2m (10.5%) $-11.6m (74.3%) $12.0m (136.8%) -3.7% (76.7%) $-0.12 (77.8%)
2019 $624.3m (97.5%) $161.1m (1486.0%) $124.3m (937.3%) 25.8% (801.9%) $1.38 (1250.0%)
2020 $774.4m (24.0%) $134.0m (-16.8%) $195.8m (57.5%) 17.3% (-33.0%) $1.07 (-22.5%)
2021 $1.4b (78.5%) $145.4m (8.5%) $299.8m (53.1%) 10.5% (-39.2%) $1.09 (1.9%)
2022 $2.3b (68.7%) $397.4m (173.2%) $698.4m (133.0%) 17.0% (62.0%) $2.94 (169.7%)
2023 $2.3b (-1.7%) $438.9m (10.5%) $586.4m (-16.0%) 19.2% (12.4%) $3.22 (9.5%)
2024 $1.3b (-41.9%) $102.7m (-76.6%) $480.1m (-18.1%) 7.7% (-59.7%) $0.76 (-76.4%)
2025 $1.5b (10.7%) $172.1m (67.7%) $95.9m (-80.0%) 11.7% (51.4%) $1.31 (72.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model