Discounted Cash Flow
Ensign Group, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.7b | $50.0m | $8.2m | 3.0% | $0.99 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (11.8%) | $40.5m (-19.0%) | $15.8m (92.8%) | 2.2% (-27.5%) | $0.79 (-20.2%) |
| 2018 | $2.0b (10.3%) | $92.4m (128.2%) | $155.4m (884.1%) | 4.5% (106.8%) | $1.78 (125.3%) |
| 2019 | $2.0b (-0.2%) | $110.5m (19.7%) | $120.7m (-22.3%) | 5.4% (19.9%) | $2.07 (16.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.4b (18.0%) | $170.5m (54.2%) | $323.0m (167.7%) | 7.1% (30.7%) | $3.19 (54.1%) |
| 2021 | $2.6b (9.4%) | $194.7m (14.2%) | $206.1m (-36.2%) | 7.4% (4.4%) | $3.57 (11.9%) |
| 2022 | $3.0b (14.5%) | $224.7m (15.4%) | $185.0m (-10.3%) | 7.5% (0.8%) | $4.09 (14.6%) |
| 2023 | $3.7b (24.0%) | $209.4m (-6.8%) | $270.5m (46.2%) | 5.6% (-24.8%) | $3.76 (-8.1%) |
| 2024 | $4.3b (14.2%) | $298.0m (42.3%) | $188.9m (-30.1%) | 7.0% (24.6%) | $5.26 (39.9%) |
| 2025 | $5.0b (18.1%) | $344.0m (15.4%) | $370.7m (96.2%) | 6.8% (-2.3%) | $6.00 (14.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.