Discounted Cash Flow

EPR Properties

EPR · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $493.2m $225.0m $87.0m 45.6% $3.17
2017 $576.0m (16.8%) $263.0m (16.9%) $390.8m (349.0%) 45.7% (0.1%) $3.29 (3.8%)
2018 $700.7m (21.7%) $267.0m (1.5%) $451.3m (15.5%) 38.1% (-16.5%) $3.27 (-0.6%)
2019 $652.0m (-7.0%) $202.2m (-24.2%) $404.4m (-10.4%) 31.0% (-18.6%) $2.32 (-29.1%)
2020 $414.7m (-36.4%) $-131.7m (-165.1%) $52.9m (-86.9%) -31.8% (-202.4%) $-2.05 (-188.4%)
2021 $531.7m (28.2%) $98.6m (174.9%) $304.0m (474.8%) 18.5% (158.4%) $1.00 (148.8%)
2022 $658.0m (23.8%) $176.2m (78.7%) $440.8m (45.0%) 26.8% (44.4%) $2.03 (103.0%)
2023 $705.7m (7.2%) $173.0m (-1.8%) $177.7m (-59.7%) 24.5% (-8.4%) $1.98 (-2.5%)
2024 $698.1m (-1.1%) $146.1m (-15.6%) $129.2m (-27.3%) 20.9% (-14.7%) $1.61 (-18.7%)
2025 $718.4m (2.9%) $274.9m (88.2%) $415.0m (221.2%) 38.3% (82.9%) $3.30 (105.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model