Discounted Cash Flow

Energy Recovery, Inc.

ERII · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $49.7m $1.0m $3.9m 2.1% $0.02
2017 $58.2m (17.0%) $12.3m (1094.4%) $-4.5m (-216.3%) 21.2% (921.0%) $0.23 (1050.0%)
2018 $74.5m (28.1%) $22.1m (78.9%) $2.3m (152.0%) 29.6% (39.6%) $0.41 (78.3%)
2019 $86.9m (16.7%) $10.9m (-50.6%) $-2.1m (-190.7%) 12.6% (-57.7%) $0.20 (-51.2%)
2020 $119.0m (36.9%) $26.4m (141.8%) $10.1m (577.1%) 22.2% (76.7%) $0.47 (135.0%)
2021 $103.9m (-12.7%) $14.3m (-45.9%) $6.8m (-32.1%) 13.7% (-38.1%) $0.25 (-46.8%)
2022 $125.6m (20.9%) $24.0m (68.5%) $8.4m (22.7%) 19.1% (39.4%) $0.43 (72.0%)
2023 $128.3m (2.2%) $21.5m (-10.6%) $23.5m (179.6%) 16.8% (-12.5%) $0.38 (-11.6%)
2024 $144.9m (12.9%) $23.1m (7.2%) $19.2m (-18.2%) 15.9% (-5.1%) $0.40 (5.3%)
2025 $135.0m (-6.9%) $23.0m (-0.4%) $17.4m (-9.3%) 17.0% (7.0%) $0.43 (7.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model