Discounted Cash Flow

Escalade Inc.

ESCA · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $167.7m $11.5m $9.5m 6.9% $0.81
2017 $177.3m (5.8%) $14.1m (22.3%) $10.6m (11.6%) 7.9% (15.7%) $0.98 (21.0%)
2018 $195.8m (10.4%) $20.4m (45.4%) $3.7m (-65.3%) 10.4% (31.7%) $1.42 (44.9%)
2019 $203.4m (3.9%) $7.3m (-64.5%) $13.9m (275.6%) 3.6% (-65.8%) $0.50 (-64.8%)
2020 $273.6m (34.6%) $25.9m (257.3%) $-2.8m (-120.4%) 9.5% (165.6%) $1.84 (268.0%)
2021 $313.6m (14.6%) $24.4m (-5.9%) $-8.8m (-210.3%) 7.8% (-17.9%) $1.78 (-3.3%)
2022 $313.8m (0.0%) $18.0m (-26.3%) $6.4m (173.2%) 5.7% (-26.3%) $1.33 (-25.3%)
2023 $263.6m (-16.0%) $9.8m (-45.4%) $46.2m (621.1%) 3.7% (-35.0%) $0.72 (-45.9%)
2024 $251.5m (-4.6%) $13.0m (32.1%) $34.0m (-26.5%) 5.2% (38.5%) $0.94 (30.6%)
2025 $240.2m (-4.5%) $13.7m (5.5%) $28.5m (-16.2%) 5.7% (10.5%) $1.00 (6.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model