Discounted Cash Flow

Esco Technologies Inc.

ESE · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $571.5m $45.9m $60.0m 8.0% $1.78
2017 $685.7m (20.0%) $53.7m (17.0%) $37.6m (-37.3%) 7.8% (-2.5%) $2.08 (16.9%)
2018 $771.6m (12.5%) $92.1m (71.6%) $72.7m (93.2%) 11.9% (52.5%) $3.56 (71.2%)
2019 $813.0m (5.4%) $81.0m (-12.0%) $68.0m (-6.5%) 10.0% (-16.5%) $3.12 (-12.4%)
2020 $732.9m (-9.8%) $102.0m (25.8%) $50.2m (-26.2%) 13.9% (39.6%) $3.92 (25.6%)
2021 $715.4m (-2.4%) $63.5m (-37.7%) $96.4m (92.2%) 8.9% (-36.2%) $2.44 (-37.8%)
2022 $857.5m (19.9%) $82.3m (29.6%) $90.3m (-6.4%) 9.6% (8.2%) $3.17 (29.9%)
2023 $956.0m (11.5%) $92.5m (12.4%) $50.8m (-43.7%) 9.7% (0.8%) $3.59 (13.2%)
2024 $1.0b (7.4%) $101.9m (10.1%) $81.4m (60.2%) 9.9% (2.5%) $3.95 (10.0%)
2025 $1.1b (6.7%) $299.2m (193.7%) $148.2m (82.1%) 27.3% (175.3%) $11.59 (193.4%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model