Discounted Cash Flow
Elbit Systems Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $3.3b | $236.9m | $83.8m | 7.3% | $5.54 |
| 2017 | $3.4b (3.6%) | $239.1m (0.9%) | $-7.0m (-108.3%) | 7.1% (-2.6%) | $5.59 (0.9%) |
| 2018 | $3.7b (9.1%) | $206.7m (-13.5%) | $89.4m (1378.9%) | 5.6% (-20.7%) | $4.84 (-13.4%) |
| 2019 | $4.5b (22.4%) | $227.9m (10.2%) | $-190.9m (-313.7%) | 5.1% (-9.9%) | $5.20 (7.4%) |
| 2020 | $4.7b (3.4%) | $237.7m (4.3%) | $146.6m (176.8%) | 5.1% (0.9%) | $5.38 (3.5%) |
| 2021 | $5.3b (13.2%) | $274.4m (15.4%) | $228.3m (55.7%) | 5.2% (2.0%) | $6.21 (15.4%) |
| 2022 | $5.5b (4.4%) | $275.4m (0.4%) | $35.0m (-84.7%) | 5.0% (-3.8%) | $6.21 (0.0%) |
| 2023 | $6.0b (8.4%) | $215.1m (-21.9%) | $-73.3m (-309.8%) | 3.6% (-28.0%) | $4.85 (-21.9%) |
| 2024 | $6.8b (14.3%) | $321.1m (49.3%) | $319.6m (535.8%) | 4.7% (30.6%) | $7.22 (48.9%) |
| 2025 | $7.9b (16.3%) | $534.3m (66.4%) | $552.8m (73.0%) | 6.7% (43.1%) | $11.69 (61.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.