Discounted Cash Flow

Energy Services of America Corp.

ESOA · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $155.5m $3.2m $3.4m 2.1% $0.21
2017 $140.5m (-9.6%) $-387.8k (-112.0%) $-1.9m (-156.9%) -0.3% (-113.2%) $-0.05 (-123.8%)
2018 $135.5m (-3.6%) $2.5m (747.1%) $7.2m (474.1%) 1.9% (771.0%) $0.15 (416.3%)
2019 $174.5m (28.8%) $1.7m (-32.9%) $961.9k (-86.6%) 1.0% (-47.9%) $0.12 (-22.6%)
2020 $119.2m (-31.7%) $2.1m (26.1%) $11.5m (1090.4%) 1.8% (84.7%) $0.15 (28.3%)
2021 $122.5m (2.7%) $8.8m (314.9%) $-5.2m (-145.8%) 7.2% (303.8%) $0.65 (320.1%)
2022 $197.6m (61.3%) $3.9m (-56.3%) $3.0m (156.7%) 1.9% (-72.9%) $0.23 (-64.5%)
2023 $304.1m (53.9%) $7.4m (92.2%) $10.2m (244.2%) 2.4% (24.9%) $0.44 (91.3%)
2024 $351.9m (15.7%) $25.1m (239.2%) $9.9m (-3.2%) 7.1% (193.1%) $1.52 (245.5%)
2025 $411.0m (16.8%) $379.7k (-98.5%) $-2.2m (-122.3%) 0.1% (-98.7%) $0.02 (-98.7%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model