Discounted Cash Flow

Exelon Corp.

EXC · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $31.4b $496.0m $-108.0m 1.6% $1.22
2017 $33.5b (6.9%) $2.7b (443.1%) $7.4b (6988.0%) 8.0% (408.0%) $3.98 (226.2%)
2018 $36.0b (7.3%) $768.0m (-71.5%) $768.0m (-89.7%) 2.1% (-73.4%) $2.08 (-47.7%)
2019 $34.4b (-4.3%) $1.1b (46.5%) $6.6b (764.8%) 3.3% (53.1%) $3.02 (45.2%)
2020 $33.0b (-4.1%) $589.0m (-47.6%) $4.0b (-39.8%) 1.8% (-45.4%) $2.01 (-33.4%)
2021 $36.3b (10.0%) $1.7b (189.6%) $3.0b (-25.1%) 4.7% (163.3%) $1.74 (-13.4%)
2022 $19.1b (-47.5%) $2.1b (20.4%) $4.8b (61.3%) 10.8% (129.4%) $2.08 (19.5%)
2023 $21.7b (13.9%) $2.3b (13.3%) $4.5b (-7.2%) 10.7% (-0.5%) $2.34 (12.5%)
2024 $23.0b (6.0%) $2.5b (5.7%) $5.3b (17.4%) 10.7% (-0.3%) $2.45 (4.7%)
2025 $24.3b (5.3%) $2.8b (12.5%) $5.7b (8.2%) 11.4% (6.8%) $2.74 (11.8%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model