Discounted Cash Flow
Exelixis, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $191.5m | $-70.2m | $204.6m | -36.7% | $-0.28 |
| 2017 | $452.5m (136.3%) | $154.2m (319.6%) | $144.5m (-29.4%) | 34.1% (192.9%) | $0.52 (285.7%) |
| 2018 | $853.8m (88.7%) | $690.1m (347.4%) | $382.4m (164.7%) | 80.8% (137.1%) | $2.32 (346.2%) |
| 2019 | $967.8m (13.3%) | $321.0m (-53.5%) | $514.1m (34.4%) | 33.2% (-59.0%) | $1.06 (-54.3%) |
| 2020 | $967.8m (0.0%) | $321.0m (0.0%) | $526.9m (2.5%) | 33.2% (0.0%) | $1.06 (0.0%) |
| 2021 | $1.4b (48.3%) | $231.1m (-28.0%) | $336.6m (-36.1%) | 16.1% (-51.5%) | $0.73 (-31.1%) |
| 2022 | $1.6b (12.3%) | $182.3m (-21.1%) | $334.9m (-0.5%) | 11.3% (-29.7%) | $0.57 (-21.9%) |
| 2023 | $1.8b (13.6%) | $207.8m (14.0%) | $292.9m (-12.6%) | 11.4% (0.3%) | $0.65 (14.0%) |
| 2024 | $2.2b (18.5%) | $521.3m (150.9%) | $671.5m (129.3%) | 24.0% (111.7%) | $1.80 (176.9%) |
| 2025 | $2.3b (7.0%) | $782.6m (50.1%) | $875.8m (30.4%) | 33.7% (40.3%) | $2.88 (60.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.