Discounted Cash Flow

Exlservice Holdings, Inc.

EXLS · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $686.0m $61.7m $74.4m 9.0% $1.84
2017 $762.3m (11.1%) $48.9m (-20.8%) $78.0m (4.8%) 6.4% (-28.7%) $1.44 (-21.7%)
2018 $883.1m (15.8%) $56.7m (16.0%) $52.0m (-33.3%) 6.4% (0.2%) $1.65 (14.6%)
2019 $991.3m (12.3%) $67.7m (19.3%) $128.3m (146.7%) 6.8% (6.3%) $1.97 (19.4%)
2020 $958.4m (-3.3%) $89.5m (32.2%) $160.7m (25.3%) 9.3% (36.8%) $2.61 (32.5%)
2021 $1.1b (17.1%) $114.8m (28.3%) $147.1m (-8.5%) 10.2% (9.5%) $3.42 (31.0%)
2022 $1.4b (25.8%) $143.0m (24.6%) $121.3m (-17.6%) 10.1% (-1.0%) $4.29 (25.4%)
2023 $1.6b (15.5%) $184.6m (29.1%) $158.4m (30.6%) 11.3% (11.8%) $1.11 (-74.1%)
2024 $1.8b (12.7%) $198.3m (7.4%) $222.3m (40.3%) 10.8% (-4.7%) $1.22 (9.9%)
2025 $2.1b (13.6%) $251.0m (26.6%) $298.1m (34.1%) 12.0% (11.5%) $1.56 (27.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model