Discounted Cash Flow

Eagle Materials Inc.

EXP · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2017 $1.2b $198.2m $274.7m 16.4% $4.14
2018 $1.4b (14.5%) $256.6m (29.5%) $205.7m (-25.1%) 18.5% (13.1%) $5.33 (28.7%)
2019 $1.4b (0.5%) $68.9m (-73.2%) $181.4m (-11.8%) 4.9% (-73.3%) $1.48 (-72.2%)
2020 $1.5b (4.1%) $70.9m (3.0%) $267.2m (47.3%) 4.9% (-1.1%) $1.69 (14.2%)
2021 $1.6b (11.8%) $339.4m (378.8%) $589.1m (120.5%) 20.9% (328.1%) $8.17 (383.4%)
2022 $1.9b (14.7%) $374.2m (10.3%) $443.1m (-24.8%) 20.1% (-3.9%) $9.23 (13.0%)
2023 $2.1b (15.4%) $461.5m (23.3%) $431.6m (-2.6%) 21.5% (6.9%) $12.54 (35.9%)
2024 $2.3b (5.2%) $477.6m (3.5%) $443.6m (2.8%) 21.1% (-1.6%) $13.72 (9.4%)
2025 $2.3b (0.1%) $463.4m (-3.0%) $353.3m (-20.4%) 20.5% (-3.0%) $13.88 (1.2%)
2026 $2.3b (2.1%) $423.8m (-8.5%) $197.4m (-44.1%) 18.4% (-10.5%) $13.24 (-4.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model