Discounted Cash Flow
Expeditors International of Washington Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $6.1b | $430.8m | $529.1m | 7.1% | $2.38 |
| 2017 | $6.9b (13.5%) | $489.3m (13.6%) | $488.6m (-7.6%) | 7.1% (0.1%) | $2.73 (14.7%) |
| 2018 | $8.1b (17.6%) | $618.2m (26.3%) | $572.8m (17.2%) | 7.6% (7.4%) | $3.55 (30.0%) |
| 2019 | $8.2b (0.5%) | $590.4m (-4.5%) | $771.9m (34.8%) | 7.2% (-4.9%) | $3.45 (-2.8%) |
| 2020 | $10.1b (23.7%) | $696.1m (17.9%) | $655.0m (-15.1%) | 6.9% (-4.7%) | $4.14 (20.0%) |
| 2021 | $16.5b (63.3%) | $1.4b (103.3%) | $868.5m (32.6%) | 8.6% (24.5%) | $8.37 (102.2%) |
| 2022 | $17.1b (3.3%) | $1.4b (-4.1%) | $2.0b (135.2%) | 8.0% (-7.2%) | $8.33 (-0.5%) |
| 2023 | $9.3b (-45.5%) | $752.9m (-44.5%) | $1.0b (-50.4%) | 8.1% (1.8%) | $5.05 (-39.4%) |
| 2024 | $10.6b (14.0%) | $810.1m (7.6%) | $682.9m (-32.6%) | 7.6% (-5.6%) | $5.75 (13.9%) |
| 2025 | $11.1b (4.4%) | $810.3m (0.0%) | $953.4m (39.6%) | 7.3% (-4.2%) | $5.97 (3.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.