Discounted Cash Flow
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.4b | $45.8m | $-3.0m | 3.3% | $0.77 |
| 2018 | $1.5b (11.7%) | $23.7m (-48.4%) | $2.1m (172.0%) | 1.5% (-53.8%) | $0.31 (-59.7%) |
| 2019 | $1.7b (12.2%) | $32.8m (38.7%) | $63.8m (2886.2%) | 1.9% (23.6%) | $0.42 (35.5%) |
| 2020 | $1.7b (-0.7%) | $36.3m (10.6%) | $158.2m (148.1%) | 2.1% (11.4%) | $0.45 (7.1%) |
| 2021 | $1.7b (0.0%) | $36.3m (0.0%) | $158.2m (0.0%) | 2.1% (0.0%) | $0.45 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (17.2%) | $42.1m (16.1%) | $145.4m (-8.1%) | 2.1% (-0.9%) | $0.53 (17.8%) |
| 2023 | $2.1b (6.0%) | $-65.9m (-256.5%) | $58.3m (-59.9%) | -3.1% (-247.5%) | $-0.84 (-258.5%) |
| 2024 | $1.8b (-14.3%) | $-28.5m (56.8%) | $38.1m (-34.5%) | -1.6% (49.6%) | $-0.36 (57.1%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (9.0%) | $29.6m (203.9%) | $73.5m (92.6%) | 1.5% (195.3%) | $0.37 (202.8%) |
| 2026 | $2.0b (0.0%) | $29.6m (0.0%) | $73.5m (0.0%) | 1.5% (0.0%) | $0.37 (0.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.