Discounted Cash Flow

Ezcorp Inc.

EZPW · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $730.5m $-80.7m $64.4m -11.1% $-1.49
2017 $748.0m (2.4%) $31.9m (139.5%) $51.8m (-19.5%) 4.3% (138.5%) $0.59 (139.6%)
2018 $813.5m (8.8%) $39.1m (22.6%) $88.7m (71.2%) 4.8% (12.7%) $0.72 (22.0%)
2019 $847.2m (4.1%) $2.5m (-93.5%) $103.5m (16.7%) 0.3% (-93.8%) $0.04 (-94.4%)
2020 $822.8m (-2.9%) $-68.5m (-2794.3%) $49.1m (-52.6%) -8.3% (-2874.3%) $-1.24 (-3200.0%)
2021 $729.6m (-11.3%) $8.6m (112.6%) $46.4m (-5.4%) 1.2% (114.2%) $0.15 (112.1%)
2022 $886.2m (21.5%) $50.2m (482.4%) $34.6m (-25.4%) 5.7% (379.5%) $0.89 (493.3%)
2023 $1.0b (18.4%) $38.5m (-23.3%) $61.4m (77.2%) 3.7% (-35.2%) $0.69 (-22.5%)
2024 $1.2b (10.7%) $83.1m (116.0%) $77.8m (26.8%) 7.2% (95.1%) $1.51 (118.8%)
2025 $1.3b (9.7%) $109.6m (31.9%) $110.4m (41.9%) 8.6% (20.2%) $1.91 (26.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model