Discounted Cash Flow
Ford Motor Co.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $151.8b | $4.6b | $12.8b | 3.0% | $1.16 |
| 2017 | $156.8b (3.3%) | $7.6b (65.4%) | $11.0b (-13.7%) | 4.8% (60.2%) | $1.91 (64.7%) |
| 2018 | $160.3b (2.3%) | $3.7b (-51.6%) | $7.2b (-34.5%) | 2.3% (-52.7%) | $0.93 (-51.3%) |
| 2019 | $155.9b (-2.8%) | $47.0m (-98.7%) | $10.0b (38.3%) | 0.0% (-98.7%) | $0.01 (-98.9%) |
| 2020 | $127.1b (-18.4%) | $-1.3b (-2821.3%) | $-1.3b (-112.8%) | -1.0% (-3436.7%) | $-0.32 (-3300.0%) |
| 2021 | $136.3b (7.2%) | $17.9b (1502.4%) | $9.6b (847.5%) | 13.2% (1407.8%) | $4.49 (1503.1%) |
| 2022 | $158.1b (15.9%) | $-2.0b (-111.0%) | $-13.0m (-100.1%) | -1.3% (-109.5%) | $-0.49 (-110.9%) |
| 2023 | $176.2b (11.5%) | $4.3b (319.4%) | $6.7b (51500.0%) | 2.5% (296.8%) | $1.09 (322.4%) |
| 2024 | $185.0b (5.0%) | $5.9b (35.2%) | $6.7b (0.9%) | 3.2% (28.8%) | $1.48 (35.8%) |
| 2025 | $187.3b (1.2%) | $-8.2b (-239.2%) | $12.5b (85.0%) | -4.4% (-237.5%) | $-2.06 (-239.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.