Discounted Cash Flow
First Bancorp /Nc/
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $123.4m | $27.5m | $17.5m | 22.3% | $1.37 |
| 2017 | $164.7m (33.5%) | $46.0m (67.1%) | $22.2m (26.6%) | 27.9% (25.2%) | $1.82 (32.8%) |
| 2018 | $207.4m (25.9%) | $89.3m (94.2%) | $35.7m (60.9%) | 43.0% (54.2%) | $3.02 (65.9%) |
| 2019 | $216.2m (4.2%) | $92.0m (3.1%) | $47.7m (33.7%) | 42.6% (-1.1%) | $3.10 (2.6%) |
| 2020 | $218.1m (0.9%) | $81.5m (-11.5%) | $44.7m (-6.3%) | 37.4% (-12.3%) | $2.81 (-9.4%) |
| 2021 | $246.4m (13.0%) | $95.6m (17.4%) | $129.5m (189.6%) | 38.8% (3.9%) | $3.19 (13.5%) |
| 2022 | $324.9m (31.8%) | $146.9m (53.6%) | $225.4m (74.0%) | 45.2% (16.5%) | $4.12 (29.2%) |
| 2023 | $32.8m (-89.9%) | $104.1m (-29.1%) | $127.0m (-43.7%) | 317.3% (601.5%) | $2.54 (-38.3%) |
| 2024 | $70.1m (113.7%) | $76.2m (-26.8%) | $172.1m (35.6%) | 108.7% (-65.7%) | $1.85 (-27.2%) |
| 2025 | $67.6m (-3.6%) | $111.0m (45.7%) | $198.9m (15.5%) | 164.2% (51.1%) | $2.68 (44.9%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.