Discounted Cash Flow

FTI Consulting, Inc.

FCN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.8b $85.5m $204.6m 4.7% $2.09
2017 $1.8b (-0.1%) $108.0m (26.2%) $115.6m (-43.5%) 6.0% (26.4%) $2.79 (33.5%)
2018 $2.0b (12.2%) $150.6m (39.5%) $198.4m (71.6%) 7.4% (24.4%) $4.06 (45.5%)
2019 $2.4b (16.0%) $216.7m (43.9%) $175.8m (-11.4%) 9.2% (24.0%) $5.89 (45.1%)
2020 $2.5b (4.6%) $210.7m (-2.8%) $292.2m (66.2%) 8.6% (-7.1%) $5.92 (0.5%)
2021 $2.8b (12.8%) $235.0m (11.5%) $286.8m (-1.8%) 8.5% (-1.1%) $7.02 (18.6%)
2022 $3.0b (9.1%) $235.5m (0.2%) $135.5m (-52.8%) 7.8% (-8.1%) $6.99 (-0.4%)
2023 $3.5b (15.2%) $274.9m (16.7%) $175.0m (29.2%) 7.9% (1.3%) $8.10 (15.9%)
2024 $3.7b (6.0%) $280.1m (1.9%) $359.7m (105.6%) 7.6% (-3.9%) $7.96 (-1.7%)
2025 $3.8b (2.4%) $270.9m (-3.3%) $93.6m (-74.0%) 7.1% (-5.6%) $8.33 (4.6%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model