Discounted Cash Flow
Phoenix New Media Ltd. ADR
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
| Dividends | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $208.1m | $1.7m | $4.4m | 0.8% | — |
| 2017 | $242.1m (16.3%) | $855.0k (-50.4%) | $3.9m (-9.4%) | 0.4% (-57.4%) | — |
| 2018 | $200.3m (-17.2%) | $-1.4m (-259.7%) | $-1.7m (-142.0%) | -0.7% (-292.9%) | — |
| 2019 | $219.9m (9.8%) | $15.5m (1237.0%) | $-7.0m (-324.6%) | 7.1% (1135.7%) | — |
| 2020 | $185.3m (-15.8%) | $9.5m (-38.7%) | $-2.3m (66.7%) | 5.1% (-27.3%) | — |
| 2021 | $1.0b (456.1%) | $-30.5m (-421.1%) | $-21.2m (-803.8%) | -3.0% (-157.7%) | — |
| 2022 | $785.7m (-23.7%) | $-16.3m (46.7%) | $-51.4m (-142.5%) | -2.1% (30.1%) | — |
| 2023 | $692.0m (-11.9%) | $-15.2m (6.5%) | $-10.5m (79.6%) | -2.2% (-6.1%) | — |
| 2024 | $703.7m (1.7%) | $-8.0m (47.8%) | $-7.4m (29.8%) | -1.1% (48.6%) | — |
| 2025 | $765.6m (8.8%) | $49.9k (100.6%) | $-2.3m (68.3%) | 0.0% (100.6%) | — |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
SEC filings report in CNY. Values above are converted to USD for comparison with the US-listed share price.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.