Discounted Cash Flow

First Financial Bankshares Inc.

FFIN · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $104.8m $160.7m $1.59
2017 $120.4m (14.9%) $190.3m (18.4%) $1.82 (14.5%)
2018 $150.6m (25.1%) $189.0m (-0.7%) $2.23 (22.5%)
2019 $164.8m (9.4%) $204.1m (8.0%) $1.22 (-45.3%)
2020 $202.0m (22.6%) $210.7m (3.2%) $1.42 (16.4%)
2021 $227.6m (12.6%) $353.2m (67.7%) $1.60 (12.7%)
2022 $234.5m (3.0%) $308.5m (-12.7%) $1.64 (2.5%)
2023 $199.0m (-15.1%) $267.6m (-13.3%) $1.39 (-15.2%)
2024 $223.5m (12.3%) $292.9m (9.5%) $1.56 (12.2%)
2025 $253.6m (13.5%) $286.0m (-2.4%) $1.77 (13.5%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model