Discounted Cash Flow
Fair Isaac Corp.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $881.4m | $109.4m | $163.3m | 12.4% | $3.52 |
| 2017 | $932.2m (5.8%) | $128.3m (17.2%) | $205.8m (26.1%) | 13.8% (10.8%) | $4.16 (18.2%) |
| 2018 | $1.0b (10.8%) | $142.4m (11.0%) | $191.8m (-6.8%) | 13.8% (0.3%) | $4.79 (15.1%) |
| 2019 | $1.2b (12.4%) | $192.1m (34.9%) | $236.4m (23.3%) | 16.6% (20.1%) | $6.63 (38.4%) |
| 2020 | $1.3b (11.6%) | $236.4m (23.1%) | $342.9m (45.1%) | 18.3% (10.3%) | $8.13 (22.6%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (1.7%) | $392.1m (65.8%) | $416.2m (21.4%) | 29.8% (63.1%) | $13.65 (67.9%) |
| 2022 | $1.4b (4.6%) | $373.5m (-4.7%) | $503.4m (20.9%) | 27.1% (-8.9%) | $14.34 (5.1%) |
| 2023 | $1.5b (9.9%) | $429.4m (14.9%) | $464.7m (-7.7%) | 28.4% (4.6%) | $17.18 (19.8%) |
| 2024 | $1.7b (13.5%) | $512.8m (19.4%) | $624.1m (34.3%) | 29.9% (5.2%) | $20.78 (21.0%) |
| 2025 | $2.0b (15.9%) | $651.9m (27.1%) | $769.9m (23.4%) | 32.7% (9.7%) | $26.90 (29.4%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.