Discounted Cash Flow
Five Below, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $1.0b | $71.8m | $61.8m | 7.2% | $1.31 |
| 2018 | $1.3b (27.8%) | $102.5m (42.6%) | $99.6m (61.1%) | 8.0% (11.6%) | $1.86 (42.0%) |
| 2019 | $1.6b (22.0%) | $149.6m (46.1%) | $70.4m (-29.3%) | 9.6% (19.7%) | $2.68 (44.1%) |
| 2020 | $1.8b (18.4%) | $175.1m (17.0%) | $-25.3m (-135.9%) | 9.5% (-1.2%) | $3.14 (17.2%) |
| 2021 | $2.0b (6.2%) | $123.4m (-29.5%) | $165.8m (756.1%) | 6.3% (-33.7%) | $2.21 (-29.6%) |
| 2022 | $2.8b (45.2%) | $278.8m (126.0%) | $39.7m (-76.0%) | 9.8% (55.7%) | $4.98 (125.3%) |
| 2023 | $3.1b (8.0%) | $261.5m (-6.2%) | $63.0m (58.4%) | 8.5% (-13.1%) | $4.71 (-5.4%) |
| 2024 | $3.6b (15.7%) | $301.1m (15.1%) | $164.6m (161.3%) | 8.5% (-0.5%) | $5.43 (15.3%) |
| 2025 | $3.9b (8.9%) | $253.6m (-15.8%) | $106.7m (-35.2%) | 6.5% (-22.7%) | $4.61 (-15.1%) |
| 2026 | $4.8b (22.9%) | $358.6m (41.4%) | $411.7m (286.0%) | 7.5% (15.1%) | $6.51 (41.2%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.