Discounted Cash Flow
Comfort Systems USA Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $1.6b | $64.9m | $68.0m | 4.0% | $1.74 |
| 2017 | $1.8b (9.4%) | $55.3m (-14.8%) | $78.6m (15.7%) | 3.1% (-22.1%) | $1.48 (-14.9%) |
| 2018 | $2.2b (22.1%) | $112.9m (104.3%) | $119.9m (52.5%) | 5.2% (67.3%) | $3.03 (104.7%) |
| 2019 | $2.6b (19.8%) | $114.3m (1.3%) | $110.3m (-8.0%) | 4.4% (-15.5%) | $3.10 (2.3%) |
| 2020 | $2.9b (9.2%) | $150.1m (31.3%) | $262.4m (137.9%) | 5.3% (20.2%) | $4.11 (32.6%) |
| 2021 | $3.1b (7.6%) | $143.3m (-4.5%) | $157.8m (-39.8%) | 4.7% (-11.3%) | $3.95 (-3.9%) |
| 2022 | $4.1b (34.7%) | $245.9m (71.6%) | $253.2m (60.4%) | 5.9% (27.4%) | $6.84 (73.2%) |
| 2023 | $5.2b (25.8%) | $323.4m (31.5%) | $544.7m (115.2%) | 6.2% (4.6%) | $9.03 (32.0%) |
| 2024 | $7.0b (35.0%) | $522.4m (61.5%) | $738.0m (35.5%) | 7.4% (19.7%) | $14.64 (62.1%) |
| 2025 | $9.1b (29.5%) | $1.0b (95.7%) | $1.0b (39.8%) | 11.2% (51.1%) | $28.93 (97.6%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Values abbreviated: b = billions, m = millions, k = thousands.
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.