Discounted Cash Flow
Flowers Foods Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | $3.9b | $150.1m | $222.2m | 3.8% | $0.72 |
| 2018 | $4.0b (0.8%) | $157.2m (4.7%) | $196.5m (-11.6%) | 4.0% (3.9%) | $0.74 (2.8%) |
| 2019 | $4.1b (4.4%) | $164.5m (4.7%) | $263.3m (34.0%) | 4.0% (0.3%) | $0.78 (5.4%) |
| 2020 | $4.4b (6.4%) | $152.3m (-7.4%) | $356.5m (35.4%) | 3.5% (-13.0%) | $0.72 (-7.7%) |
| 2021 | $4.4b (0.0%) | $152.3m (0.0%) | $449.8m (26.2%) | 3.5% (0.0%) | $0.72 (0.0%) |
| 2022 | $4.8b (9.5%) | $228.4m (49.9%) | $175.5m (-61.0%) | 4.8% (36.9%) | $1.08 (50.0%) |
| 2023 | $5.1b (5.9%) | $123.4m (-46.0%) | $220.3m (25.5%) | 2.4% (-49.0%) | $0.58 (-46.3%) |
| 2024 | $5.1b (0.2%) | $248.1m (101.0%) | $280.6m (27.4%) | 4.9% (100.5%) | $1.18 (103.4%) |
| 2025 | $5.3b (3.0%) | $83.8m (-66.2%) | $319.1m (13.7%) | 1.6% (-67.2%) | $0.40 (-66.1%) |
| 2026 | $5.3b (0.0%) | $83.8m (0.0%) | $441.9m (38.5%) | 1.6% (0.0%) | $0.40 (0.0%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.