Discounted Cash Flow

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc.

FMAO · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $11.7m $10.0m $2.53
2017 $12.7m (9.1%) $17.5m (74.2%) $1.38 (-45.5%)
2018 $14.9m (17.5%) $9.5m (-45.4%) $1.61 (16.7%)
2019 $18.4m (23.1%) $20.4m (114.3%) $1.66 (3.1%)
2020 $20.1m (9.2%) $24.2m (18.3%) $1.80 (8.4%)
2021 $23.5m (16.9%) $32.8m (35.7%) $2.01 (11.7%)
2022 $32.5m (38.4%) $38.1m (16.1%) $2.46 (22.4%)
2023 $22.8m (-29.9%) $11.2m (-70.5%) $1.67 (-32.1%)
2024 $25.9m (13.8%) $30.6m (172.8%) $1.90 (13.8%)
2025 $33.3m (28.4%) $35.0m (14.3%) $2.43 (27.9%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model