Discounted Cash Flow

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

FND · Based on 10 years of SEC filings

Average annual growth rates

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Average annual growth is the mean year-over-year change across each period.

Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)

Metric 10-Year 5-Year 3-Year
Sales
Free Cash Flow
Average (FCF & NI)
Net Income

Endpoint CAGR is the compound annual rate from the first to last year in each period.

Projections use average year-over-year growth. Change this in Settings.

Projected growth rate

Free cash flow growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Averaged growth (FCF & NI)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Net income growth
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —
Sales growth (not added to calculations)
10-year: — 5-year: — 3-year: —

Click a greyed-out slider to switch metrics. Slide between the 10-year, 5-year, and 3-year historic growth rates for FCF, net income, or their average.

%
%

Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)

YEAR Sales Net Income Free Cash Flow Net Margin EPS (diluted)
2016 $1.1b $43.0m $89.5m 4.1% $0.52
2017 $1.4b (31.8%) $102.8m (138.8%) $109.2m (22.1%) 7.4% (81.2%) $1.13 (117.3%)
2018 $1.7b (23.5%) $116.2m (13.0%) $185.6m (70.0%) 6.8% (-8.5%) $1.20 (6.2%)
2019 $2.0b (19.6%) $150.6m (29.6%) $204.7m (10.3%) 7.4% (8.4%) $1.51 (25.8%)
2020 $2.4b (18.6%) $195.0m (29.4%) $406.2m (98.5%) 8.0% (9.1%) $1.90 (25.8%)
2021 $3.4b (41.5%) $283.2m (45.3%) $301.3m (-25.8%) 8.2% (2.6%) $2.71 (42.6%)
2022 $4.3b (24.2%) $298.2m (5.3%) $-344.1m (-214.2%) 7.0% (-15.2%) $2.82 (4.1%)
2023 $4.4b (3.5%) $246.0m (-17.5%) $256.0m (174.4%) 5.6% (-20.3%) $2.31 (-18.1%)
2024 $4.5b (0.9%) $205.9m (-16.3%) $156.3m (-38.9%) 4.6% (-17.1%) $1.92 (-16.9%)
2025 $4.7b (5.1%) $208.6m (1.3%) $64.1m (-59.0%) 4.5% (-3.6%) $1.94 (1.0%)

Base FCF: (latest fiscal year)

Discount rate: %

Terminal growth:

Projection period: years

Alt A decline yrs:

Alt B total yrs:

Projected cash flows

Year Projected cash flow Discount Factor Present Value

PV of projected FCF:

Terminal FCF:

Terminal value:

PV of terminal value:

Enterprise value (DCF):

DCF price per share:

Current price:

Alternative DCF Models

Model Fair Value Upside PV(FCFs) PV(Terminal) Total Years
Standard (10yr→TV) 10 + TV
Alt A (Gradual Decline)
Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) N/A

This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.

+ 10YR Financials Balance Sheet (10YR) Cash Flow (10YR) DCF Model