Discounted Cash Flow
Forestar Group Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | $262.4m | $-213.0m | $20.4m | -81.2% | $-6.22 |
| 2016 | $197.3m (-24.8%) | $58.6m (127.5%) | $60.7m (197.2%) | 29.7% (136.6%) | $1.40 (122.5%) |
| 2017 | $114.3m (-42.1%) | $50.3m (-14.3%) | $-16.3m (-126.8%) | 44.0% (47.9%) | $1.19 (-15.0%) |
| 2019 | $428.3m (274.6%) | $33.0m (-34.3%) | $33.0m (302.9%) | 7.7% (-82.5%) | $0.79 (-33.6%) |
| 2020 | $931.8m (117.6%) | $60.8m (84.2%) | $-169.0m (-612.1%) | 6.5% (-15.3%) | $1.26 (59.5%) |
| 2021 | $1.3b (42.3%) | $110.2m (81.2%) | $-304.7m (-80.3%) | 8.3% (27.4%) | $2.25 (78.6%) |
| 2022 | $1.5b (14.6%) | $178.8m (62.3%) | $105.2m (134.5%) | 11.8% (41.6%) | $3.59 (59.6%) |
| 2023 | $1.4b (-5.4%) | $166.9m (-6.7%) | $362.8m (244.9%) | 11.6% (-1.3%) | $3.34 (-7.0%) |
| 2024 | $1.5b (5.0%) | $203.4m (21.9%) | $-160.6m (-144.3%) | 13.5% (16.0%) | $4.03 (20.7%) |
| 2025 | $1.7b (10.1%) | $167.9m (-17.5%) | $-199.9m (-24.5%) | 10.1% (-25.1%) | $3.30 (-18.1%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.