Discounted Cash Flow
Shift4 Payments, Inc.
—
—
Average annual growth rates
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Endpoint CAGR (better for long term trend)
| Metric | 10-Year | 5-Year | 3-Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sales | — | — | — |
| Free Cash Flow | — | — | — |
| Average (FCF & NI) | — | — | — |
| Net Income | — | — | — |
Projected growth rate
—
—
%
%
Historical inputs (10 fiscal years)
| YEAR | Sales | Net Income | Free Cash Flow | Net Margin | EPS (diluted) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $560.6m | $55.4m | $23.9m | 9.9% | — |
| 2019 | $731.4m (30.5%) | $56.6m (2.2%) | $18.5m (-22.6%) | 7.7% (-21.7%) | — |
| 2020 | $766.9m (4.9%) | $-18.4m (-132.5%) | $18.6m (0.5%) | -2.4% (-131.0%) | $-0.86 |
| 2021 | $1.4b (78.3%) | $-48.2m (-162.0%) | $21.0m (12.9%) | -3.5% (-46.9%) | $-1.78 (-107.0%) |
| 2022 | $2.0b (45.8%) | $75.1m (255.8%) | $267.4m (1173.3%) | 3.8% (206.9%) | $2.68 (250.6%) |
| 2023 | $2.6b (28.7%) | $86.2m (14.8%) | $374.6m (40.1%) | 3.4% (-10.8%) | $2.90 (8.2%) |
| 2024 | $3.3b (29.9%) | $229.6m (166.4%) | $493.2m (31.7%) | 6.9% (105.1%) | $6.72 (131.7%) |
| 2025 | $4.2b (25.5%) | $119.0m (-48.2%) | $624.0m (26.5%) | 2.8% (-58.7%) | $2.30 (-65.8%) |
Base FCF: — (latest fiscal year)
Discount rate: % —
Terminal growth: —
Projection period: — years
Alt A decline yrs:
Alt B total yrs:
Projected cash flows
| Year | Projected cash flow | Discount Factor | Present Value |
|---|
PV of projected FCF: —
Terminal FCF: —
Terminal value: —
PV of terminal value: —
Enterprise value (DCF): —
Current price: —
—Alternative DCF Models
| Model | Fair Value | Upside | PV(FCFs) | PV(Terminal) | Total Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard (10yr→TV) | — | — | — | — | 10 + TV |
| Alt A (Gradual Decline) | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alt B (30yr Hard Stop) | — | — | — | N/A | — |
This is a simplified DCF model for illustration. It uses reported free cash flow, a single growth assumption, fixed WACC, and a Gordon Growth terminal value. It is not investment advice.